I think the starting point is still pretty much there, but after that it’s all up in the air - Sometimes it’s how big the license is, sometimes it’s how small the license is, sometimes it’s if the vertical is something NS is keen to get into, sometimes it’s the day of the month, sometimes it’s just luck. But as @C_Billings says, if you know someone in a similar position, knowing a little bit about their license position may at least let you know where you are within the range.